Terror and voting behavior of Turkey in 1986-2020

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dc.contributor.authorBildirici, M. E.
dc.contributor.authorSonüstün, F. O.
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-27T06:07:54Z
dc.date.available2022-01-27T06:07:54Z
dc.date.issued2022en_US
dc.departmentFakülteler, İktisadi, İdari ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi, Ekonomi Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThis study investigated the existence of chaotic structure in voting behavior by considering non-economic and macroeconomic factors in Turkey during the period of 03.1986-01.2020. The chaotic structure among the analyzed variables was characterized by Lyapunov exponents that explore the chaotic dynamics of the series. Following, the effects of inflation, unemployment, economic growth and terror on party votes were analyzed by Fourier regression model. Then, the causality among the macroeconomic variables, terror and party groups was analyzed by the Granger causality method. According to our results, there is unidirectional causality from terror to all four party groups. In the context of macroeconomic variables, there is the evidence of bidirectional causality between conservative parties and inflation; unidirectional causality from inflation to center-right and center-left parties. There is no causality between nationalist parties and inflation. Furthermore, center-right and center-left parties have the evidence of no causality with unemployment while there is unidirectional causality from unemployment to conservative and nationalist parties. There is unidirectional causality from economic growth to conservative parties and bidirectional causality between center-right parties and economic growth. However, the center-left and nationalist parties are not the sources of Granger causality of economic growth, and there is no inverse Granger causality relationship between these variables. Therefore, it can be concluded that between the periods 03.1986-01.2020, there was no concern for economic growth in left-wing and nationalist-based parties in Turkey.en_US
dc.identifier.citationBildirici, M. E., & Sonustun, F. O. (2022). Terror and Voting Behavior of Turkey in 1986-2020. Nonlinear dynamics, psychology, and life sciences, 26(1), 105-121.en_US
dc.identifier.endpage121en_US
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85123037297
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/A
dc.identifier.startpage105en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12939/2228
dc.identifier.volume26en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000773479200005
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorSonüstün, Fulya
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherNonlinear Dynamics, Psychology and Life Sciencesen_US
dc.relation.ispartofNonlinear Dynamics, Psychology and Life Sciences
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectCausalityen_US
dc.subjectEconomic Developmenten_US
dc.subjectHumansen_US
dc.subjectPoliticsen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.subjectUnemploymenten_US
dc.titleTerror and voting behavior of Turkey in 1986-2020
dc.typeArticle

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