İstanbul Boğazı’ndaki deniz kazalarının seyir emniyeti perspektifinde incelenmesi: İstanbulmaks gemi tipi önerisi
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2022
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Bu çalışmada, İstanbul Boğazı’nda 10 yıllık periyotta meydana gelen deniz kazaları gemi kökenli
risk faktörleri açısından ele alınmış ve elde edilen veriler, R – Studio program dili kullanılarak
frekans analizine tabi tutulmuştur. Bu kapsamda T.C. Ulaştırma ve Altyapı Bakanlığı Ana Arama
Kurtarma Koordinasyon Merkezi’nden temin edilen kaza verileri, MMSI numaraları üzerinden
Türk Loydu veri tabanından gemi bilgileri ile eşleştirilmiştir. Böylelikle, çalışma kapsamında kullanılacak gemi kökenli risk faktörleri belirlenmiş ve 10 farklı kriter analizlere dahil edilmiştir.
Bunlar, gemi boyu, gemi genişliği, gemi su çekimi, gemi yaşı, gemi deadweight tonajı, manevra
yarıçapı, dönme noktası, L/B oranı, B/T oranı ve pervane sayısıdır. Verinin mekânsal olarak filtrelenmesi ve gemi kökenli kaza nedenlerinin sınıflandırılmasıyla veri seti oluşturma süreci tamamlanmış ve değişkenler Büyük Sayılar Yasası perspektifinde frekans analizine tabi tutulmuştur. Elde
edilen sonuçlarla, İstanbul Boğazı’ndan en emniyetli şekilde geçiş yapabilecek optimum karakteristikler belirlenmiştir.
In this study, maritime accidents that occurred in the Strait of Istanbul over a 10-year period were evaluated in terms of ship-based risk factors. The frequency analysis was performed using the R - Studio program language. In this context, the accident data obtained from the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Main Search and Rescue Coordination Center were matched with the ship information accessed from Türk Loydu database. Thus, ship origin risk factors to be used within the scope of the study were determined and 10 different criteria were included in the analysis. These are ship length, ship breadth, ship draught, ship age, ship DWT, turning point, turning radius, L/B ratio, B/T ratio and number of propellers. The process of creating a data set was completed by spatially filtering the data and classifying of the ship-based causes accidents. The variables were examined with frequency analysis in the perspective of the Law of Large Numbers. With the results obtained, optimum characteristics based on ship origin risk factors have been revealed for each ship type that will pass through the Strait.
In this study, maritime accidents that occurred in the Strait of Istanbul over a 10-year period were evaluated in terms of ship-based risk factors. The frequency analysis was performed using the R - Studio program language. In this context, the accident data obtained from the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Main Search and Rescue Coordination Center were matched with the ship information accessed from Türk Loydu database. Thus, ship origin risk factors to be used within the scope of the study were determined and 10 different criteria were included in the analysis. These are ship length, ship breadth, ship draught, ship age, ship DWT, turning point, turning radius, L/B ratio, B/T ratio and number of propellers. The process of creating a data set was completed by spatially filtering the data and classifying of the ship-based causes accidents. The variables were examined with frequency analysis in the perspective of the Law of Large Numbers. With the results obtained, optimum characteristics based on ship origin risk factors have been revealed for each ship type that will pass through the Strait.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
İstanbulmaks, Büyük Sayılar Yasası, Seyir Emniyeti, Frekans Analizi, Olasılık, İstanbul Boğazı, Istanbulmax, Law Of Large Numbers, Safety Navigation, Frequency Analysis, Probability, Strait Of Istanbul
Kaynak
Aquatic Research
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
5
Sayı
1
Künye
Kodak, G., Kara, G., Yıldız, M., Şalcı, A. (2022). İstanbul Boğazı’ndaki deniz kazalarının seyir emniyeti perspektifinde incelenmesi: İstanbulmaks gemi tipi önerisi. Aquatic Research, 5(1), 63 - 88. 10.3153/AR22007
