Empirical evacuation response curve during hurricane Irene in Cape may county, New Jersey

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dc.contributor.authorLi, Jian
dc.contributor.authorÖzbay, Kaan
dc.contributor.authorBartın, Bekir
dc.contributor.authorIyer, Shrisan
dc.contributor.authorCarnegie, Jon A.
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-15T12:41:02Z
dc.date.available2021-05-15T12:41:02Z
dc.date.issued2013
dc.departmentMühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliğien_US
dc.descriptionBARTIN, BEKIR/0000-0001-6941-228X
dc.description.abstractUnderstanding evacuation response behavior is critical for public officials in deciding when to issue emergency evacuation orders for an impending hurricane. Such behavior is typically measured by an evacuation response curve that represents the proportion of total evacuation demand over time. This study analyzes evacuation behavior and constructs an evacuation response curve on the basis of traffic data collected during Hurricane Irene in 2011 in Cape May County, New Jersey. The evacuation response curve follows a general S-shape with sharp upward changes in slope after the issuance of mandatory evacuation notices. These changes in slope represent quick response behavior, which may be caused in part by an easily mobilized tourist population, lack of hurricane evacuation experience, or the nature of the location, in this case a rural area with limited evacuation routes. Moreover, the widely used S-curves with different mathematical functions and the state-of-the-art behavior models are calibrated and compared with empirical data. The results show that the calibrated S-curves with logit and Rayleigh functions fit empirical data better. The evacuation behavior analysis and calibrated evacuation response models from this hurricane evacuation event may benefit evacuation planning in similar areas. In addition, traffic data used in this study may also be valuable for the comparative analysis of traffic patterns between the evacuation periods and regular weekdays and weekends.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.3141/2376-01
dc.identifier.endpage10en_US
dc.identifier.issn0361-1981
dc.identifier.issn2169-4052
dc.identifier.issue2376en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84893045397
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage1en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3141/2376-01
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12939/735
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000329681700002
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorBartın, Bekir
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSage Publications Incen_US
dc.relation.ispartofTransportation Research Record
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectEmpirical Evacuationen_US
dc.subjectResponse Curveen_US
dc.subjectDuring Hurricane Irene In Capeen_US
dc.titleEmpirical evacuation response curve during hurricane Irene in Cape may county, New Jersey
dc.typeArticle

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