A novel type-2 hexagonal fuzzy logic approach for predictive safety stock management for a distribution business

dc.contributor.authorYiğit, Fatih
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-24T09:26:25Z
dc.date.available2023-11-24T09:26:25Z
dc.date.issued2023en_US
dc.departmentFakülteler, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractSafety stock is an important method to overcome variability in inventory management. The classical approach to safety stock decisions relies on historical demand and lead time statistical data, which may not capture the uncertainty and complexity of the real world. Human knowledge and experience are valuable assets for making better decisions, especially when facing unpredictable situations. The fuzzy method is widely used for employing human intuition for decisions. When fuzzy opinions are input, decisions can be made proactively rather than reactively while benefiting from future predictions. The paper aims to integrate human intuition using Hexagonal Type-2 Fuzzy Sets (HT2FS) for safety stock management. HT2FS is a generalization of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Sets that can represent more uncertainty in the membership functions. Predictions may be integrated into the safety stock models using human intuition. The proposed model uses novel fuzzy approaches to integrate human intuition into the traditional safety stock model. Applying fuzzy sets to safety stock management allowed experts' opinions under fuzzy logic to be integrated into decision-making. The proposed novel approach uses the centre of gravity method of Polygonal Interval Type-2 Fuzzy sets for defuzzification, which is a computationally efficient method that can handle any shape of the footprint of uncertainty. A mathematical model is developed to validate fuzzy opinions that may replace historical data. The data is received from a real-life case, and human intuition is integrated using an expert's input. After the validation, a real-life numerical example has been considered to illustrate the model and its validity compared to the classical model. The outcomes show that the proposed model may contribute to the classical models, mainly when experts' inputs offer good predictions. When expert opinion on HT2FS is used for a real-life case, the results show that the expert's better representation of future variances lowers total cost by 2.8%. The results, coupled with the sensitivity analysis, underline that the proposed approach may contribute to the literature on safety stock management.en_US
dc.identifier.citationYiğit, F. (2023). A novel type-2 hexagonal fuzzy logic approach for predictive safety stock management for a distribution business. Scientific Reports, 13(1).en_US
dc.identifier.issn2045-2322
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85176399171
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12939/4244
dc.identifier.volume13en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001104958500023
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMed
dc.institutionauthorYiğit, Fatih
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.ispartofScientific Reports
dc.relation.isversionof10.1038/s41598-023-46649-0en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectFuzzy logicen_US
dc.subjectSafety stock managementen_US
dc.subjectDistributionen_US
dc.titleA novel type-2 hexagonal fuzzy logic approach for predictive safety stock management for a distribution business
dc.typeArticle

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