Interdependence, balancing and conflict in Russian-Turkish relations

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Tarih

2015

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Dergi ISSN

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Yayıncı

Springer International Publishing Ag

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

This article provides a realist account of the puzzling trajectory of Russian-Turkish bilateral relations since the early 2000s. Between 2003 and 2011 these two major Eurasian powers engaged in an unprecedented level of political cooperation under the framework of "strategic partnership." Bilateral relations deteriorated after 2011, indicating a return to a more competitive equilibrium. Two factors explain this pattern of cooperation and conflict: (a) the growth of economic interdependence between Russia and Turkey, based on energy partnership in particular, (b) the convergence of Moscow and Ankara's security interests in Eurasia. This essay finds that while energy-fueled economic interdependence facilitated political cooperation, the convergence of regional security interests was the primary driver behind the rapprochement. Russia and Turkey balanced against what they perceived as the US encroachment in their sphere of influence. Security factors also explain why relations between Russia and Turkey deteriorated after 2011 even though economic interdependence remained robust. External changes like conflicts in the Caucasus and Black Sea region and the Arab Spring in 2011 drove a wedge between Russia and Turkey. Lastly, the long-term incongruity of the energy strategies of Russia and Turkey functions as a source of conflict in bilateral relations.

Açıklama

Workshop on Great Powers and Geopolitics - International Affairs in a Rebalancing World -- NOV, 2013 -- Jerusalem, ISRAEL
Demiryol, Tolga/0000-0002-0410-3563

Anahtar Kelimeler

Russian-Turkish, Relations

Kaynak

Great Powers and Geopolitics: International Affairs in A Rebalancing World

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Q4

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