The effect of weekend curfews on epidemics: A Monte Carlo simulation

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dc.authorid0000-0001-9336-1902en_US
dc.contributor.authorKaygusuz, Hakan
dc.contributor.authorBerker, A. Nihat
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-16T10:12:56Z
dc.date.available2022-01-16T10:12:56Z
dc.date.issued2021en_US
dc.departmentFakülteler, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Elektrik - Elektronik Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThe ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being responded with various methods, applying vaccines, experimental treatment options, total lockdowns or partial curfews. Weekend curfews are among the methods for reducing the number of infected persons and this method is practically applied in some countries such as Turkey. In this study, the effect of weekend curfews on reducing the spread of a contagious disease, such as COVID-19, is modeled using a Monte Carlo algorithm with a hybrid lattice model. In the simulation setup, a fictional country with three towns and 26,610 citizens were used as a model. Results indicate that applying a weekend curfew reduces the ratio of ill cases from 2 0.23 to 0.15. The results also show that applying personal precautions such as social distancing is important for reducing the number of cases and deaths. If the probability of disease spread can be reduced to 0.1, in that case the death ratio can be minimized down to 0.en_US
dc.identifier.citationKaygusuz, H., & Berker, N. (2021). The Effect of Weekend Curfews on Epidemics: A Monte Carlo Simulation (preprint).en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85114137115
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/A
dc.identifier.trdizinid520454
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12939/2166
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000691376800007
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizin
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMed
dc.institutionauthorKaygusuz, Hakan
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectMonte Carlo Simulationen_US
dc.subjectEpidemicen_US
dc.subjectCurfewen_US
dc.subjectSIQRen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.titleThe effect of weekend curfews on epidemics: A Monte Carlo simulation
dc.typeArticle

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